Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.582897e-05 3.105030e-05 0.000037 0.000043 0.000051 0.000059 0.000068
2025-02-16 2.072357e-05 2.782998e-05 0.000036 0.000047 0.000059 0.000073 0.000090
2025-02-23 1.615835e-05 2.406118e-05 0.000034 0.000047 0.000063 0.000083 0.000107
2025-03-02 1.143960e-05 1.906211e-05 0.000029 0.000044 0.000062 0.000086 0.000116
2025-03-09 8.442807e-06 1.571231e-05 0.000026 0.000042 0.000063 0.000089 0.000126
2025-03-16 6.396079e-06 1.328638e-05 0.000024 0.000040 0.000063 0.000094 0.000136
2025-03-23 4.983695e-06 1.153581e-05 0.000022 0.000039 0.000065 0.000099 0.000147
2025-03-30 3.799176e-06 9.883211e-06 0.000020 0.000038 0.000065 0.000103 0.000157
2025-04-06 2.778588e-06 8.252988e-06 0.000019 0.000037 0.000065 0.000105 0.000164
2025-04-13 1.844675e-06 6.482872e-06 0.000016 0.000034 0.000062 0.000104 0.000167
2025-04-20 1.317053e-06 5.427871e-06 0.000015 0.000032 0.000062 0.000106 0.000173
2025-04-27 9.332861e-07 4.568419e-06 0.000013 0.000031 0.000062 0.000108 0.000181
2025-05-04 6.199952e-07 3.834859e-06 0.000012 0.000031 0.000064 0.000115 0.000196
2025-05-11 5.413702e-07 3.846482e-06 0.000013 0.000034 0.000071 0.000131 0.000225
2025-05-18 3.733171e-07 3.382817e-06 0.000013 0.000034 0.000075 0.000141 0.000246
2025-05-25 1.716981e-07 2.462652e-06 0.000011 0.000032 0.000073 0.000141 0.000253
2025-06-01 7.645179e-08 1.864293e-06 0.000009 0.000030 0.000072 0.000144 0.000264
2025-06-08 3.121634e-08 1.444181e-06 0.000009 0.000029 0.000073 0.000149 0.000277
2025-06-15 1.152834e-08 1.153462e-06 0.000008 0.000029 0.000074 0.000154 0.000292
2025-06-22 2.632717e-09 8.845848e-07 0.000007 0.000028 0.000074 0.000159 0.000305
2025-06-29 1.444167e-10 6.341798e-07 0.000006 0.000026 0.000073 0.000161 0.000315
2025-07-06 NaN 3.909407e-07 0.000005 0.000024 0.000070 0.000159 0.000317
2025-07-13 NaN 2.676341e-07 0.000005 0.000023 0.000070 0.000161 0.000327